**Last updated:** January 15, 2025

 

<div style="display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(1, minmax(0, 1fr)); overflow: auto; white-space: nowrap;">
<table><thead>
 <tr>
 <th>City comparison</th>
 <th>Baltimore, MD</th>
 <th>Buffalo, NY</th>
 </tr></thead>
<tbody>
 <tr>
 <td>Median home price</td>
 <td>$184,000</td>
 <td>$224,000</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Median home price growth (10-Yr)</td>
 <td>68.8%</td>
 <td>72.6%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Single family market rent</td>
 <td>$1,750</td>
 <td>$1,800</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Single family market rent growth (10-Yr)</td>
 <td>39.0%</td>
 <td>33.3%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Rent yield</td>
 <td>11.4%</td>
 <td>9.6%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Population</td>
 <td>565,239</td>
 <td>274,678</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Population growth (10-Yr)</td>
 <td>-9.2%</td>
 <td>6.4%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Unemployment rate</td>
 <td>4.5%</td>
 <td>3.6%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Property tax rate</td>
 <td>2.248%</td>
 <td>2.63%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Public school rating (out of 10)</td>
 <td>3</td>
 <td>4</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Median household income</td>
 <td>$59,623</td>
 <td>$46,458</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Income to rent</td>
 <td>2.84</td>
 <td>2.15</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Median household income growth (10-Yr)</td>
 <td>41.1%</td>
 <td>45.2%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Poverty rate (%)</td>
 <td>20.2%</td>
 <td>27.6%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Civilian labor force</td>
 <td>62.3%</td>
 <td>59.9%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>High school grad or higher</td>
 <td>88.3%</td>
 <td>86.6%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Bachelors degree or higher</td>
 <td>37.1%</td>
 <td>31.2%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Median age</td>
 <td>36.5</td>
 <td>35.7</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Foreign born</td>
 <td>9.1%</td>
 <td>10.4%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Housing units</td>
 <td>294,353</td>
 <td>140,554</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Housing units per capita</td>
 <td>0.52</td>
 <td>0.51</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Occupancy</td>
 <td>88%</td>
 <td>88%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Renter occupancy</td>
 <td>52%</td>
 <td>57%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Housing unit turnover</td>
 <td>14.1%</td>
 <td>15.3%</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>Insurance Premium</td>
 <td>$1,380</td>
 <td>$1,680</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>DSCR at 80% LTV (7.625% interest rate)</td>
 <td>1.17</td>
 <td>0.96</td>
 </tr>
</tbody></table>
</div>

 

*Data compiled from the following sources:*

- U.S. Census Bureau
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Zillow
- Neighborhood Scout
- [PropStream](https://trial.propstreampro.com/offmarketus/)

 

## **1\. Property Values and Growth**

 

* **Median Home Price**: Baltimore has a lower median home price ($184,000) compared to Buffalo ($224,000), making it a more affordable entry point for investors. 
* **10-Year Price Growth**: Both cities experienced significant home price growth, with Buffalo slightly outperforming Baltimore (72.6% vs. 68.8%).

 

## **2\. Rental Market**

 

* **Market Rent**: Rental income is comparable, with Buffalo ($1,800) slightly exceeding Baltimore ($1,750). 
* **Rent Growth (10-Yr)**: Baltimore shows stronger rent growth (39.0% vs. 33.3%), indicating a healthier long-term rental market. 
* **Rent Yield**: Baltimore significantly outperforms Buffalo in rent yield (11.4% vs. 9.6%), making it more attractive for cash flow-oriented investors.

 

## **3\. Economic Indicators**

 

* **Population Trends**: Buffalo has seen population growth (6.4%), while Baltimore's population is declining (-9.2%). A growing population in Buffalo suggests increasing demand for housing over time. 
* **Unemployment Rate**: Buffalo’s unemployment rate (3.6%) is better than Baltimore’s (4.5%), reflecting a potentially more stable labor market. 
* **Median Household Income**: Baltimore has a higher median income ($59,623) than Buffalo ($46,458), with both cities showing strong 10-year income growth (Baltimore 41.1%, Buffalo 45.2%).

 

## **4\. Affordability**

 

* **Income-to-Rent Ratio**: Baltimore’s income-to-rent ratio (2.84) is higher than Buffalo’s (2.15), suggesting renters in Baltimore have more financial capacity relative to rent costs. 
* **Poverty Rate**: Baltimore’s poverty rate (20.2%) is lower than Buffalo’s (27.6%), indicating better overall economic conditions.

 

## **5\. Housing Market Dynamics**

 

* **Occupancy**: Both cities have similar housing occupancy rates (88%) and housing units per capita. 
* **Renter Occupancy**: Buffalo has a slightly higher percentage of renters (57% vs. 52%), suggesting stronger rental demand. 
* **Housing Turnover**: Buffalo’s turnover rate (15.3%) is marginally higher than Baltimore’s (14.1%), which could indicate a more dynamic housing market.

 

## **6\. Cost Factors**

 

* **Property Taxes**: Baltimore has a lower property tax rate (2.248%) compared to Buffalo (2.63%), which can significantly impact net operating income (NOI). 
* **Insurance Premiums**: Baltimore’s insurance premiums are more affordable ($1,380 vs. $1,680), further enhancing cash flow potential.

 

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## **7\. Investment Metrics**

 

* **DSCR at 80% LTV**: Baltimore’s Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) is above 1.0 (1.17), indicating cash flow positive properties at 80% leverage. Buffalo’s DSCR is below 1.0 (0.96), implying cash flow challenges.

 

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## **8\. Quality of Life Indicators**

 

* **Education**: Public school ratings are low in both cities but slightly higher in Buffalo (4 vs. 3). 
* **Labor Force Participation**: Baltimore has a marginally higher civilian labor force participation rate (62.3% vs. 59.9%). 
* **Higher Education**: A higher percentage of Baltimore residents hold bachelor’s degrees or higher (37.1% vs. 31.2%).

 

## **Investment Recommendations: Baltimore vs Buffalo**

 

* **Baltimore, MD**: Ideal for investors seeking strong cash flow due to its superior rent yield, affordability, and favorable DSCR. However, population decline and slightly higher unemployment pose risks. 
* **Buffalo, NY**: More suitable for investors focused on long-term appreciation given its strong home price and population growth. However, higher property taxes, lower rent yield, and less favorable DSCR may reduce immediate returns.

 

Baltimore stands out for cash flow, while Buffalo offers a balanced appreciation and demand story. Your choice should align with your investment strategy (cash flow vs. appreciation).

 

Overall this comparison is too close to call and comes out to your specific investing goals and preferences. 

 

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In our Baltimore vs Buffalo rental property showdown, we'll compare the two markets and provide you with valuable insights.

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Baltimore vs Buffalo: Rental Investing Stats | OfferMarket

Baltimore vs Buffalo: Rental Investing Stats

Every week we send a market update to thousands of real estate investors. Our goal is to provide data-driven insights to help you build wealth through real estate and navigate the current market volatility and uncertainty.

 

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## Have we reached a breaking point?

 

📈 **Interest rate volatility:** 30 Yr FRM at 7.2%, +25 bps WoW
📈 **Inflation:** +8.2%, higher than expected
📉 **Unemployment rate:** down to 3.5% in September from 3.7% in August
📈 **[DSCR Loan Index](https://www.offermarket.us/blog/dscr-loan-interest-rate-index): 8.45%, +11 bps WoW
📈 [Fix & Flip Loan Index](https://www.offermarket.us/blog/bridge-loan-interest-rate-index):** 11% (OfferMarket is at 9.99%)
💸 **Home price affordability:** lowest level in 37 years
🏠 **MLS Active Listing Count:** 732,276 in September, little changed since August 
🏚️ **OfferMarket Active Listing Count:** 381

 

## 🧠 Housing Market Opinion

 

With unemployment at record lows and inflation persisting, the Federal Reserve will need to continue aggressive rate hikes to meet its mandate of price stability. In the near term, housing prices will remain supported by low inventory as would be sellers contemplate the “lock-in effect” of low rates. While the housing market is already in recession, we expect the broader economy to continue to deteriorate as the financial health of the consumer continues to decline and businesses cut back on labor and capital investments. Financial markets may not bottom for another 6 - 15 months. As an investor, it’s extremely important at this stage of the economic cycle to be disciplined in order to avoid forced selling. Investors with strong balance sheets and access to reliable funding should find increasingly attractive opportunities to deploy capital. 

 

Disclaimer: *this is solely our opinion and does not constitute financial advice*

This week's market data and insights for real estate investors. Have we reached a breaking point?

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